I've got a feeling it might be another "Girl Next Door," in that the internet nerds think it looks like a mainstream hit, but it won't be. It will easily do more than GND, but, I'm not convinced it's going to do that great, especially with a Denzel and Shamalamadingdong movie to compete with. but, it is a comedy so maybe they aren't directly competing, who knows. there's been weekends before when 3 movies did pretty well... but I don't imagine it'll go much under or over whatever the line is. watch, it makes 50 million
they've put up more than 2 lines in the past, who knows.... there are a lot of ads on tv for Harold and Kumar, but, I asked my sister if she wanted to see it, and I guess she's part of the target audience, albeit obviously a girl, so not so much as a guy, but anyways her answer was an emphatic "no." And that's coming from a person that liked Dude, Where's My Car?
alright last week proved once again how useless the internet "buzz" indicators can be, as Bourne Supremacy almost flew completely under the radar. I'm not that surprised, as a large portion of the audience was the older crowd, and it's not the type of movie that usually has a high buzz score. Now the Village is different. Horror/suspense films should register on the charts, and this one does, although only M Night Shyamalan is on the buzz index and "the Village" is not. I attribute this to the fake documentary aired on the Science Fiction chanel about the director. This is a great way to market a film, remember the Blair Witch? They've also been heavily promoting it with ads, and showed 8 minutes of the movie at the end of Unbreakable at least 2 different nights on T.V. Again the director was getting exposure as he hosted that show. People are going to see this media coverage and become interested in the movie. It doesn't hurt that it's getting pretty decent reviews, as well. Also, the other yahoo movie chart has the Village ranked at #2, which is great. Only Catwoman
beats it. It's also been in the top 5 on moviefone since at least Tuesday. I take that as a sign that it's going to be popular among teenage girls, which is a very large moviegoing demographic. Now, it doesn't have Mel Gibson as Signs did, and some people were turned off by that movie, so I don't know if it can do as well. I do think that anyone that predicts lower than 40 million is smokin' da pipe though
Lee's got it at 62 and Box Office Report has it at 58. This could be a set-up for a high line that's set a couple million above what the tracking is I suspect, but that might not deter me if it's still low enough.
Yeah... there are some nice Value plays at Intertops.
Box Office Opening Weekend Gross: The Manchurian Candidate
USD 18 million to 23 million... +115
USD 23 million to 30 million... +120
USD 18 million or less......... +265
USD 30 million or more......... +380
I also took OVER 48 million for The Village. Movies have been doing well at the Box office this summer.
Box Office Opening Weekend Gross: The Manchurian Candidate
USD 18 million to 23 million... +115
USD 23 million to 30 million... +120
USD 18 million or less......... +265
USD 30 million or more......... +380
I also took OVER 48 million for The Village. Movies have been doing well at the Box office this summer.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/people/chart/?id=denzelwashington.htm
here's a history of Denzel Washington films. I don't feel that this one should do any better than Man on Fire , just my opinion. The only thing it has going for it is it's summer release, but, it also has a ton of competition becasue of that. The movie looks decent, but for some reason I think the paranoid theme is going to turn off a lot of people. I see value in the under now that the over has been hit ridiculously hard. adding under 22 1.5 units +150. If I go 0-3 this week I blame Gil for not posting any of his picks.
here's a history of Denzel Washington films. I don't feel that this one should do any better than Man on Fire , just my opinion. The only thing it has going for it is it's summer release, but, it also has a ton of competition becasue of that. The movie looks decent, but for some reason I think the paranoid theme is going to turn off a lot of people. I see value in the under now that the over has been hit ridiculously hard. adding under 22 1.5 units +150. If I go 0-3 this week I blame Gil for not posting any of his picks.
